Mexico Seeks Water Deal With the US / Clash on Guatemalan Border

Government to Solve Mexico-US Water Treaty Dispute. President Claudia Sheinbaum expressed confidence that an agreement with the United States on the 1944 Water Treaty would be reached, following US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 5% tariff increase if Mexico fails to comply. She confirmed a meeting is scheduled for this afternoon to negotiate the water volumes owed.

Sheinbaum explained that Mexico's ability to deliver more water is constrained by domestic consumption needs and the physical limitations of the pipeline infrastructure leading to the Rio Bravo. Roberto Velasco, Deputy Minister for North America, highlighted the importance of the treaty, noting it establishes the regulations for water distribution in the Bravo, Colorado, and Tijuana rivers between the two nations.

Security Assessment. Marcela Figueroa, Head, Executive Ministry of the National Public Security System (SESNSP), presented the crime incidence report for November 2025. She highlighted that the daily average of intentional homicides has decreased by 37% since the start of the administration in September 2024, dropping from 86.9 to 54.7 daily victims. Figueroa emphasized that November 2025 recorded the lowest average figure for this crime since 2015.

Figueroa detailed that 51% of national homicides are concentrated in seven states: Guanajuato, Chihuahua, Baja California, Sinaloa, the State of Mexico, Guerrero, and Michoacan. Conversely, Yucatan, Durango, Colima, Aguascalientes, Campeche, and Tlaxcala recorded the lowest incidence.

Regarding long-term reductions compared to 2018, she reported a 47% drop in high-impact crimes, a 49% decrease in vehicle theft, and a 54% decline in transport theft.

Minister of Security Omar García Harfuch presented the operational results for November 2025, reporting 1,761 detentions for high-impact crimes, the seizure of 15t of drugs and over 1,100 firearms, and the dismantling of 146 methamphetamine laboratories. He also noted the recovery of 1.47 million L of stolen fuel.

Regarding the cumulative results of the current administration, Harfuch highlighted that 38,700 people have been detained and 20,169 firearms seized. He detailed that 311t of drugs, including over 4 million fentanyl pills, have been confiscated, and 1,760 laboratories have been dismantled by the SEDENA and SEMAR.

Plan Michoacán’s Early Results. Harfuch reported on the progress of Plan Michoacán for Peace and Justice. Since its implementation one month ago, authorities have detained 972 people, seized 945 firearms and over 133,000 cartridges, confiscated 23t of drugs and 5 million L of chemical precursors, and disabled 17 clandestine laboratories.

Government Rules Out Terrorist Attack in Michoacan. Regarding the car bomb explosion in Coahuayana, Michoacan, which left five dead, Harfuch announced that the Attorney General's Office (FGR) is conducting new forensic analyses. He clarified that the incident was not a direct attack on the local police but a dispute between the CJNG and Cárteles Unidos. He noted that a director of the Community Police is alleged to have direct links to one of these criminal groups.

Harfuch confirmed that while an investigation for terrorism was initially opened, it has been reclassified as organized crime. He explained that the attack does not meet the legal definition of terrorism, as it lacked an intent to impose an ideology and was instead the result of an internal cartel conflict.

Mexico Addresses Attack on Guatemalan Border. Minister of National Defense General Ricardo Trevilla announced the implementation of a joint special operations plan with the Guatemalan Army following attacks by criminal groups in the border regions of Huehuetenango and San Marcos. He detailed that the Sinaloa Cartel and the Chiapas and Guatemala Cartel operate in this area, moving across the border to attack rivals

Trevilla reported that the recent incursion resulted in one civilian death and one injured soldier. The new strategy, which begins today, involves intelligence sharing and coordinated troop deployments on both sides of the border to track these organizations and ensure security in the region.