Airlines Turn to Turbulence Prediction Tech After Recent Incident

In response to recent high-profile turbulence incidents, airlines are showing greater interest in turbulence prediction technology, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA).

"There is no miracle solution when it comes to turbulence. But having more information and more data will definitely improve the situation”, said Nick Careen, Senior Vice President of Operations, Safety, and Security, IATA, during IATA’s annual meeting in Dubai.

Last month, a dramatic incident on a Singapore Airlines flight (SQ321) resulted in numerous injuries and marked the first turbulence-related fatality in 25 years. The aircraft experienced a significant loss of altitude, causing unbelted passengers and crew to collide with the cabin ceiling, resulting in severe injuries and even fracturing the ceiling in some areas. Just days later, another turbulence event on a Qatar Airways flight left 12 passengers injured.

These incidents have intensified scrutiny on airline safety protocols, particularly the use of seatbelts. Despite the uptick in turbulence reports, Careen noted that serious turbulence remains rare and its severity has not increased. However, the incidents have prompted calls for more conservative safety policies. The CEO of Emirates, for instance, suggested that industry practices might need to be reevaluated in light of recent events.

Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General, and Carsten Spohr, CEO, Lufthansa, both former pilots, underscored the importance of keeping seatbelts fastened. "We always keep our seatbelts fastened when flying," Walsh affirmed, highlighting a practice recommended but not enforced by most airlines during smooth cruising conditions.

Turbulence, often referred to as air pockets, causes sudden and unpredictable movements of an aircraft. It is a leading cause of in-flight injuries, though it typically results in discomfort rather than severe harm, according to experts. Modern commercial aircraft are engineered to withstand forces far greater than those encountered during flight. Nevertheless, turbulence remains a significant safety concern and a cost burden, particularly when pilots have to alter flight paths.

Singapore Airlines announced it would take a more cautious stance following the SQ321 incident, such as refraining from serving hot beverages or meals when the seatbelt sign is illuminated. "I think it’s now clear how important it is, especially for passengers, to follow the guidelines given to them," said Yvonne Makolo, CEO, RwandAir.