Mexico Could Need Up to 800 New Jets by 2045, Says Boeing

Mexico is projected to require between 600 and 800 new aircraft over the next 20 years as passenger demand and air cargo activity expand, according to Boeing’s latest market outlook. The forecast, presented in Mexico City by senior executives, positions the country as one of the largest sources of aircraft demand in Latin America.

“Our customers need and want more aircraft to meet the growing demand that characterizes our industry,” said Darren Hulst, Vice President of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes. He noted that Mexico will account for nearly one-third of the 2,365 new aircraft expected in Latin America by 2045.

The forecast indicates that about 1,350 of the new aircraft in the region will be used to expand airline capacity, while the rest will replace existing fleets. Single-aisle models such as the 737 are expected to dominate, representing 90% of new deliveries due to strong demand for domestic and regional routes.

Passenger traffic in Latin America is projected to grow by at least 4.3% annually, surpassing pre-pandemic levels. In Mexico, a growing middle class and economic activity are supporting demand. Hulst emphasized that cargo has also become a key driver, with the country’s freighter fleet expanding by 81% since the pandemic. “Every part in that airplane is very important, so we need to ensure our supply chains are stable, diversified and capable of growing,” he added.

In Mexico, Aeroméxico is Boeing’s largest customer. While the airline remains strategic, Boeing stressed that it does not prioritize one client over another, focusing instead on fulfilling existing commitments. To bridge delivery gaps, Boeing offers alternatives such as used aircraft, previous-generation models, and leasing solutions. “What we really want is for our customers to operate a Boeing aircraft,” Hulst said.

Boeing is also targeting new business opportunities in freighter conversions, particularly for the 737, where Mexico could become a key market.